Both Democratic candidates, Raphael Warnock and … Totally, James Scott. There's 159 counties in Georgia, each of which will be reporting three buckets of votes: In-person on Election Day, early in-person and mail ballots. Subscribe today and support local journalism. There are no statewide elections in Georgia this year. So Chatham County allegedly releasing votes tonight after it was reported that folks were going home. Gabriel Sterling is up with another live press conference: 27,600 advance votes yet to come in, across the state. Georgia results for the 2020 presidential election, special election, Senate and House races, and key ballot measures. State-certified election results show Trump lost Georgia by 12,670 votes. However: THERE ARE OTHER COUNTIES. Teresa I think there's also something to be said about the Loeffler vs. Perdue dynamic, should Warnock outrun Ossoff. Georgia is on track to be majority-minority by 2030. <, How Georgia’s Senate race pits the Old South against the New South, https://www.politico.com/news/2020/12/17/georgia-senate-race-447466, ‘It’s nonstop’: Georgia Senate battles rage far from Atlanta. Georgia is one of the more diverse states in the U.S. Georgia's median household income falls in the middle of the pack. We couldn’t provide fact-based political coverage like this without support from readers like you. Why are results not posted more quickly? (Advance vote is in-person early voting.). Warnock's opponent, Kelly Loeffler, is trying to preempt his speech by making some brief remarks right now. I think the majority of folks I'm talking to expect it to be pretty clear tomorrow. Anyone caught cheating will have their expense accounts scrutinized to the fullest extent. Warnock is up 35,031. I wonder Charlie if it’s a leading indicator of the underlying belief by many conservatives that they’ll lose this election.Â. If it is really close, it might not be 'till Friday at the earliest! Election nights on Slack, instead of the newsroom, just aren't the same! One of the most fascinating storylines coming out of these runoffs has been President Trump’s ability — and, really, desire — to trample all over the GOP’s messaging in order to pressure Republican lawmakers to support his long-shot effort to overturn the results of the November election. Republicans are at roughly 700 votes there, to about 550 for each Democrat. And there are 159 of them. Looks like everyone is expecting a tight one tonight. OMG. Instead, it’s a confederation of counties. Hey, James & Zach: what's the best estimate of total turnout on Election Day? -- Plus, do they count the same ways at the same time across the state? Muscogee County (Columbus) Agreed Charlie. I think David Perdue’s strength with Georgia voters is also sometimes under-appreciated. In November’s crowded special election, Mr. Warnock finished with 32.9 percent of the vote and Ms. Loeffler had 25.9 percent. He also said that the likely biggest pot of vote still out is the DeKalb County in-person early vote. Just think -- we have the Electoral College drama ahead of us tomorrow. It was first published on Jan. 5, 2021. It's hard to draw any conclusions without that information — folks I talked to before today said they were watching that region above all others tonight. It’s been fascinating to see how Atlanta, and the rest of the state, has been transformed by massive demographic shifts. "It could be a see-saw for the rest of the evening" as more votes come in, Sterling said. Georgia voters returned to the polls to vote in two Senate runoff races after no candidate in either race broke the 50% threshold in November. Tonight is unprecedented: double-barreled runoffs in one state to decide control of the Senate. If Democrats manage to pick off both seats, President-elect Joe Biden will be working with a Democratic Senate and Democratic House for the first two years of his term. The Trump campaign is still challenging the results in various courts. On Nov. 3, Biden won 61 percent in Muscogee County and Ossoff won 60 percent -- that's Columbus, the third-largest city in the state. Here are the results for the races broken down by county:. Dems poured it on. Live Georgia Senate special runoff election results 2021, including votes and polling results for Senator Kelly Loeffler and Rev. Despite the messaging mishaps over the past few weeks, Trump is still their biggest asset.Â, To James’s point about Black voter turnout, if African-American ballots are 30% of the share of vote, it’s an indicator of a likely Democratic winÂ, The first returns are in, everybody panic!!! That's gotta be a tough vote for him. How Georgia compares to the rest of the country. Thanks for reading! His winning margin there was roughly 250,000 votes. Well, they're simply estimations of how many votes have been cast in the races. There are two Senate seats on the ballot today and Democrats must win both to gain a Senate majority. 384 votes. But I do wonder, if these Republican turnout problems hold, what that will mean for 2022? But just HOW close it'll be tonight may tell us how furious operatives will be tomorrow about this new ban. Georgia voting results consist of tallied counts from early voting, in-person voting and absentee ballots (no excuse mail-in voting) for every race or proposition on the GA general election ballot including -- President, Governor, Senate and House races, State officials, local/city/county elections, and local/state ballot initiatives. Steven where are things with absentee/mail-in ballots? If Florida was decided by 11,000 votes, I'm fairly confident we wouldn't have known the winner on Nov. 3, The bulk of Mail ballots arrive BEFORE Election Day, MOST of Georgia's vote will be reported tonight, as it was on Nov. 3 -- but when an election comes down to 11,000 votes ... those trailing ballots matter even more, The problem they've ran in to this year is those ballots that arrive on Election Day -- election officials have struggled to handle those, since Georgia does not have a long history of dealing with a lot of mail ballots, It makes no sense that Election Day results are posted firstÂ. I basically moved to Atlanta for a few weeks in May and June 2017 to cover the Georgia 6th congressional special election -- the first (major) election during the Trump era. Officials started processing ballots on Dec. 21, 2020 — more than two weeks before Election Day. It was one of his loudest applause lines.Â. GA Secretary of State Brad Raffensberger on CNN predicts that we'll have a "better idea" of where things stand by noon tomorrow. 8 killed in shootings at 3 Atlanta-area spas, suspect in custody "High risk" of large and dangerous tornadoes across South But nearby, red-leaning counties that have counted their E-day votes generally show Dems holding their own in SW Georgia (which seems to be the trend so far, though it's early). That's why some counties are already entirely reported, and some show "zero precincts reported" despite having results in. It’s only been two months since the last election, but those divides may have widened again already. So here we are, knowing that Dems have turned out in force, and wondering whether Republicans have done so today by enough of a margin to eke out wins in what everyone expects to be a photo finish. See election results, a county-by-county map and more for the Georgia U.S. Senate election on Jan. 5, 2021. That's more than the secretary of state's office was estimating, So with Perdue's lead down to just 384, and with more votes from Democratic counties, Ossoff should pull ahead soon and Warnock's lead will grow. This can see-saw really quickly, and I wouldn't assume Democratic voters are going to stay this activated (or anywhere close) 22 months from now either. These folks have been running basically nonstop since the summer. And also, are we going to watch the urban-rural divide widen in real time? You're off by 10 percentage points. Marc All in all, Republicans would take that. Perdue's big enemy was the clock. If Trump is not on the ballot, can Republicans not bank on those surges in the rural areas? There's also the obvious point: Republicans have a Black voter problem. Just 10 of them have been Black. With 73% reporting in Lowndes County, Perdue is up 51-49. It takes election officials time to process and tally mail ballots ... and at least a million of them have been returned for the runoffs. (Har har.) This is your fault, One of the interesting aspects of the Columbus market was just how much both sides invested in ground game there. Georgia Senate election results: Jon Ossoff declared runoff winner as ‘militia gathers’ at state Capitol. Out of roughly 4.3 million votes cast. So as we near midnight — and, no, I'm not making any "midnight train" references, James — worth noting where we are: More than 4.2 million votes have been tabulated. They emphasized that the analysis is not partisan. There have been 1,991 senators in history according to congressional historians. I regret to inform everyone that some of the right wing traffickers of misinformation on Twitter are laying the groundwork for more complaints of widespread election fraud, which will largely be baseless if they happen to resemble their claims from November. U.S. Senate seat in Georgia, the Associated Press reported early Wednesday, leaving control of the chamber in question until the result of the state’s other runoff election is decided. For the record, DeKalb delivered big for Dems in November -- Biden won by a landslide, 83-16. Ah, yes, THAT is happening tomorrow. Georgia provides some of the most detailed election returns of any state, and the November election was basically a big poll that split close to 50-50. The list goes on.... Another very early observation: With 28% reporting, Ossoff is running well ahead of his Nov. 3 pace in Gwinnett County, a populous Atlanta suburb. Warnock would be the seventh African-American ever elected to the United States senate. Maya I'm curious to see how cities outside Atlanta do, too. Rev. Already, one member of the family (by marriage) is considering running for Senate in your home state! Additional data from U.S. Census Bureau, MIT Election Lab and POLITICO reporting. It evaporated as all the votes were finally counted. Just kidding. With 96.86% of precincts reporting, David Perdue leads Jon Ossoff by 384 votes. That means we should expect the Republican candidates to lead in the vote count for much of the evening. It's great to be back. I think it certainly changes how Democrats recruit candidates. Excited to be here. Thanks for asking Zach! Well, we've been going at this for more than five hours now -- if you've been with us the whole time, you deserve a medal. Steven A few of those metro Atlanta counties have over 80% of estimated votes reported (Rockdale/Clayton/Douglas). So that's probably the ceiling. Georgia Senate runoff LIVE ELECTION RESULTS | JANUARY 5, 2021. I often think of Cobb County as the Southern equivalent of California's Orange County -- in other words, one of the cornerstone counties of the modern Republican Party. This fixation with making a call is so much a product of 24-hour news and social media. See full results and maps from the Georgia elections ... 2021, 8:31 AM ET. I spoke with some Republicans Zach Marc who said 900k was a decent position, and the higher it went above 1 million the better they felt, Republicans were pretty sure they would win if total turnout started hitting 900k, but that might not hold true. That definitely helps, too! It’s hard to overstate the importance of the outcome of these races. Updated Jan 19, 2021 at 11:18 a.m. But in heavily Democratic DeKalb County Election Day turnout exceeded the number of ballots cast in November.Â, Hello from Atlanta! Took you 34 minutes to attack me, Charlie. This means that it was illegal. When can we expect Georgia runoff election results? Some votes from DeKalb County, outside Atlanta, just landed, moving Raphael Warnock back into the lead in the special election. But it's the big one, We have the Atlanta metro area with ballots out yet, couple small counties, and the aforementioned Chatham, home of Savannah, Also according to data on the secretary of state's website: 147 of 159 counties are fully reported, If it comes down to Savannah, we ain't getting calls tonight:Â. James & Andrew Atlanta these days reminds me of LA in that you have to plan your life around the traffic. Like in November, I think it is entirely possible we don't know the winner of either runoff tonight -- and that's okay! Jumping off that Marc Steven -- I was looking up the numbers earlier today. The general election was held concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as with other elections to the Senate, elections to the U.S. House of Representatives and various state and local elections So everyone's gotta report up, which takes some time. I think Warnock would be the first popularly elected Black Democratic senator from the South, the second ever from the region. Teresa It took me 5.5 hours to get from Atlanta to Savannah over the weekend. Tonight I’m looking at the results out of Georgia’s rural counties, places Democrats once all but conceded to Republicans but have poured lots of money and resources into this time around. Here's the latest from the Georgia Secretary of State's office. "Fulton and DeKalb are going to have big swaths of votes" that came in today, Sterling said. The last 8 weeks both parties have built unprecedented ground games, and $500 million has gone up on the airwaves bombarding Georgians with TV ads. He skipped a debate. I wonder if the ATL suburbs will deliver the same Dem margins in a post-Trump era. It is a lot of votes, Yeah, Charlie. Hey, Elena, Maya & James: Republicans were saying Ossoff had a black voter problem. Charlie Not just tough, maybe painful. Again, DeKalb isn't the only county. I think we're going to keep, endlessly, be asking the question: What does the electorate look like? And as Maya reported in her excellent story about Georgia and the New South, the immigrant population jumped 84 percent between 2010 and 2018>. Social media pressure building to issue a call in the Loeffler-Warnock race. I scooped the details that Facebook was going to fully reinstate it's political ad ban, after making an exemption for the Georgia runoffs. And as we know, voters of color vote overwhelmingly for Democrats. I'm going to pose a two questions a reader on Twitter DM'd me (hi, Ian! Updated: 11:51 PM EDT March 16, 2021. Statewide election dates. So he could wind up being up by 45k. Demographics are from the most recent five-year sample of the U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community Survey. That's one reason why the races are so close, as compared to November, when Trump and Perdue had bigger leads at this point than Perdue and Loeffler do now. And with 78% of the expected vote in, Republican Kelly Loeffler leads Democrat Raphael Warnock, 50.3% to 49.7%. Polls have been closed for a little over 2 hours. We should be able to watch two things: First of all, is one party consistently outperforming what they’d need to get a majority, going precinct by precinct as those places count all their votes (early and Election Day)? Charlie Looks like Gwinnett is only reporting mail votes right now, which we'd expect to be the most Democratic-leaning segment of the total vote. The Republicans are up but barely so. While his party is engaged in nail-biting over the fate of its Senate majority, President Trump just released the following statement. Kelly Loeffler (R) 49.60%, In a battle of public speaking, it's hard to match the skills of the reverend from Ebenezer Baptist Church, Loeffler told a crowd in Atlanta just now that she still has a path to victory: “We’re going to win this election.”. David Perdue (R) 50.02% Georgia Senate Runoff Election Results – Open Discussion Thread January 5, 2021 | Sundance | 1,071 Comments Tonight one of the most watched senate races in … According to the Georgia Secretary of State's office, 156 of 159 counties have reported complete returns. Worth noting that the statement from Trump is dated "January 5, 2020". Perdue won the county by 2 points in November. Follow the latest updates. Speaking of Jim Crow relics, Marc, let's remember why we're here in the first place: Georgia's runoff system. I will say... confident, Having spent ~35% of the last week in a rental car. But I’ve been more struck at just how inundated the state has become with ads—TV, online, billboards, and even up in the sky. -- Is there a reason to expect the numbers for the two races won't be near-identical? I'm hearing that I'm going to need more coffee, Marc. And, it goes without saying, but the president is lying about the a vote dump, While we're talking about election administrators: I think the folks in Georgia really do deserve an attaboy for this election. Don't fact check me on that. That's going to be well over 100,000 votes that'll break decisively for Democrats. Georgia Election Results. If you've just tuned in to our live chat, it's looking like we've got two barnburner Senate races tonight. I'll keep y'all posted if he says anything interesting, but he's starting off the conference listing the counties that have totally completed their counts (good job to them! Bibb County (Macon). It seems very close. That was a revealing story -- if these Columbus numbers hold, it suggests all those Dem efforts were successful. Instead of running ye 'ole generic John Edwards-esque white dude in Southern states, So if he wins tonight, Raphael Warnock will be the first Black Democrat elected from the South (Republican Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina was elected in 2014 after his previous appointment). And 98.11% of precincts have reported. But if it hits 700,000, they’ll probably lose. The 2020–21 United States Senate election in Georgia was held on November 3, 2020 and on January 5, 2021 (as a runoff), to elect the Class II member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia. POLITICO's coverage of the Senate race between David Perdue and Jon Ossoff. For more dates, please see the elections calendar. That comprehensive, statewide tracking in Georgia is incredibly difficult because this is not a top-down state managed by the state. Elena Speaking of which, in the privacy and sanctity of the voting booth, do you think Republican Sec of State Brad Raffensperger pulls the GOP lever for Perdue and Loeffler after they both threw him under the bus? I'll buy lunch (in a few years, when we return to the office) for anyone who can guess Al Gore's percentage in Gwinnett County. Utterly anecdotal, but an acquaintance of mine said he voted Perdue but couldn't vote Loeffler because she was so bad. Precincts reported refers to election day, in-person votes, I'll grab the second one: Counties all operate on their own schedules! ), so it strikes me as routine, So, if you're looking for a consistent pattern ... don't! Georgia election admins battle Covid and conspiracies ahead of Senate runoffs, https://www.politico.com/news/2021/01/05/gabriel-sterling-blames-trump-455279, GOP Georgia election official: Blame Trump if Perdue or Loeffler lose, Democrats go back where they started to expunge Trump era: Jon Ossoff, 84 percent between 2010 and 2018>. 2020 Georgia election results. The polls are now closed and we’ll be here for the next few hours talking about the results in the two elections that will decide control of the Senate. Follow. Right now, Perdue is up 14k statewide over Ossoff and Loeffler is down 20k against Warnock. Still no runoff day votes in in the metro Atlanta area though, right Charlie? So they're placing a big bet on turnout today, and hoping that their ground game ensures limited drop off, Democrats needed that high early turnout and the stronger percentage of Black voters in early voting to stand a chance tonight. That's going to prove very helpful in breaking down the results county-by-county with all of you tonight. Every indication is that the two parties are performing fairly close to what they did in November, which is to be expected. Politics I am really looking forward to some Election Day votes from metro Atlanta to get a full picture. But for Democrats to be outperforming Biden in the heart of their territory is a good sign for them. So that’s right in the middle. Andrew Yep, that's definitely true. Good point Maya. David Perdue is still very narrowly ahead of Jon Ossoff in the regular election. Basically, a low Election Day turnout will be our best indicator of a Democratic upset and a high turnout presages a Republican win. This could be a really big deal, and I'm keeping a close eye on it. But we're still waiting on numbers from some key counties, right? But in light of that, I'll do Gore losing Gwinnett by 22 percent, my POLITICO softball jersey number, Closest without going over! A number of Democratic and voting rights groups even opened field offices in places like Valdosta in Lowndes County, to show that they feel the entire state is in play. Hi, Charlie. Democrats started at a historical disadvantage, but their voters have shown up in runoffs like never before, while most Republicans kept looking to Election Day. A silent L, Steven, but I only know that because I was hectored by someone in Georgia recently on a phone call for saying it incorrectly. Also, congrats to the teeny tiny Webster County. True bookends to elections in the Trump presidency, potentially, Consider: Perdue is up by about 100k votes. Returning to Valdosta's Lowndes County...97% of estimated votes are now reported. What I'm watching tonight: The clock! The Georgia's secretary of state office is showing they've reported all their results! Sounds like a good story idea, It would be quite something to see Ossoff net a big boost in DeKalb that could potentially help lift him. What’s the over/under on a Fulton Snafu? Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossoff were declared the winners of runoff elections against Republican David Perdue and Sen. Kelly Loeffler on Wednesday, handing Democrats control of the Senate and giving President-elect Joe Biden a major early victory that will improve his chances of getting his legislative agenda and nominations through Congress. The Georgia election results are broadly acknowledged by community leaders as being made by Stacey Abrams, the former minority leader of the Georgia House of Representatives. As a point of reference, Biden crushed Trump there by 18 points in November. Expect these numbers to seesaw. We're all still writing "2020" on our checks and angry press releases. MACON, Ga. — Voters across Central Georgia took to the polls to … And Trump’s visit last night was certainly geared toward Election Day turnout, James. Karen Handel beat Ossoff in that 2017 runoff (cc: Elena), lost a squeaker to now-Democratic Rep. Lucy McBath in 2018 and then this year ... not a particularly close rematch between still-Rep. McBath and Handel. More than 3.75m ballots have been cast. I wonder if the same happened during the runoff. And the numbers look better for Perdue. If they overperform there, it's one way they could cut into the GOP's lead at the margins. Do not read into them, Republicans have for a while now been saying their voters, who already prefer to vote on Election Day, are even more likely to do so in this race. And Atlanta has become Hollywood South--there are movie studios there, thanks to generous Georgia tax credits. Take that, James! But there is helpful precedent for breaking it down tonight: We just had a closely divided election in Georgia two months ago. I feel like I'm ending in the exact same place where we started the Trump era -- covering Jon Ossoff. See election results, maps, county-by-county vote counts and more for Georgia’s races on Jan. 5, 2021. Twitter Reacts to the Georgia Senate Runoff Election Results Rachel Epstein 1/6/2021 Alleged Capitol riot organizer, Oath Keeper associate Thomas Caldwell released to home confinement And of course, a split decision is not good enough for Democrats, who need both seats to win the Senate. He's also a New Georgia Project alum, which worked tirelessly to turn out hard-to-reach voters. Also, Loeffler isn't a native Southerner, and for some folks, that makes a difference.
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